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离岸美元兑人民币汇率再破7.25 短期哪些因素将影响汇率？
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美元指数低位反弹，令人民币汇率承压
中国银行研究院研究员范若滢对贝壳财经表示，近期人民币汇率贬值受国内外多重因素的综合影响。从国外来看，惠誉下调美国主权信用评级，之后穆迪下调多家美国银行评级，全球金融市场短期避险情绪升温，导致美元指数反弹回升。
从国内来看，7月我国出口金额同比下降14.5%，出口超预期走弱加大人民币贬值压力。考虑到我国经济增长动能有待进一步增强，美联储货币政策仍存在较大不确定性，海外风险的外溢影响依然较大，预计人民币将大概率处于震荡态势，短期内依然面临一定贬值压力。
一德期货外汇分析师车美超对贝壳财经记者表示，近期美国主要数据表现令市场减缓对经济衰退的担忧，长端美债收益率反弹，中美利差倒挂程度进一步加深。此外，穆迪下调10余家美国银行评级，避险情绪助推美元指数回升，叠加日本央行维持宽松政策施压日元，日元兑美元明显贬值，对美元指数形成支撑，美元反弹对人民币汇率形成外部压力。