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This unpredictability is called the variance. What we see from the first chart, where the simulation is run through 100 times, is that the yellow and green lines both end in positive territory, despite having a 97% win rate.

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中国女足首发：12-徐欢、3-窦加星、5-刘艳秋、8-姚伟、11-王珊珊、10-张睿、15-陈巧珠、13-杨莉娜、6-吴澄舒、19-张琳艳、20-乌日古木拉

中国女足替补：1-朱钰、22-潘红艳、4-汪琳琳、9-沈梦雨、16-姚凌薇、17-闫锦锦、18-沈梦露、7-王妍雯、14-娄佳惠、21-涂琳俪

韩国女足首发：18-金正美、2-秋孝柱、4-沈藇姸、16-張瑟琪、17-李永周、19-李恩影、20-金惠利、10-池笑然、14-全銀河、15-千佳蓝、13-凯西菲尔

韩国女足替补：1-崔艺瑟、21-金勁希、3-權多恩、5-金世娟、6-姜綵林、9-李金玟、11-鄭揳儐、12-文美羅、22-表叡彬

此前两轮小组赛，中国女足1胜1负，先后1-2朝鲜女足以及3-0泰国女足。